Overall Assessment of the Risk Situation
A total of 108 (2020: 106) individual risks were identified for Vonovia, including Deutsche Wohnen, in the second half of 2021.
An initial review of the risks associated with the Deutsche Wohnen Group in the fourth quarter of 2021 confirmed that the risks arising from the operating business activities pursued by Deutsche Wohnen and Vonovia are fundamentally similar and that this does not give rise to any significant changes in the overall assessment of Vonovia’s risk situation. Vonovia’s valuation methodology was applied to the Deutsche Wohnen risks. Additional green risks arise, in particular, from the new Care segment (one green risk with an amount of loss of € 5–25 million and a probability of occurrence of 5–39%), from the investment in QUARTERBACK Immobilien AG, which is responsible for large parts of Deutsche Wohnen’s project development business (one green risk with an amount of loss of € 25–100 million and a probability of occurrence of 5–39%) as well as from the operating business (two green risks, each with an amount of loss of € 5–25 million and a probability of occurrence of 60–95%). The resulting opportunities and risks will be examined in detail in 2022 as part of the integration process and will be applied to Vonovia’s risk management system.
All in all, and based on the current assessment, there were no signs of any risks resulting from the acquisition of Deutsche Wohnen threatening or endangering Vonovia or its survival at the end of 2021. At the time this report was prepared, Vonovia’s Management Board had not identified any risks associated with future business development that the company cannot suitably overcome, or which could jeopardize the position of Vonovia SE, a major company included in the scope of consolidation or the Group as a whole in terms of revenue, assets and/or finances.
In the interest of the company’s key stakeholders – customers, employees, suppliers, investors and society – Vonovia pursues a conservative strategy that focuses on security and sustainability. In addition, both the business model and the diversified capital market instruments used by Vonovia ensure that we have the greatest possible degree of independence from economic fluctuations.
Six (2020: six) amber risks that are significant to the company and 102 (2020: 100) other green risks were identified. Specifically, the picture that emerges for each risk category is as follows (prior-year figures in brackets):
As against 2020, the number of amber risks remained at six. The risk recognized in 2020 of a “long-term lockdown imposed in response to the pandemic” and of the “nationwide introduction of a ‘rent freeze’” were considered obsolete. New risks that arose in 2021 were associated with “amendments to the German Real Estate Transfer Tax Act (Grunderwerbsteuergesetz) due to share deals” and “unfavorable interest rate developments.”
At the end of 2021 (previous years in parentheses), the net risks identified can be summarized as follows:
Net risks
In the 2021 fiscal year, we were once again exposed to the coronavirus pandemic, a situation that we were able to address without any significant impact on our corporate objectives. Due to our experience, gleaned in 2020, of how to handle the pandemic on a day-to-day basis and thanks to a large proportion of our employees being able to work from home, we were able to continue operating throughout 2021. We were also able to provide our craftsmen’s, service and construction services on location without encountering any significant restrictions. Thanks to the responsible conduct shown by our employees, there have been no significant restrictions on our operations overall.
Based on our current assessment of the situation, we consider the prospect of a long-term lockdown imposed due to the coronavirus pandemic, which was previously included with a potential impact of > € 500 million and a probability of occurrence of <5%, to be extremely unlikely. As a result, the corresponding amber risk no longer applies. We believe that the green risk of another short-term lockdown is possible and expect this risk to involve a low amount of loss.
Based on our current assessment of the situation, we no longer believe that there is a risk of the nationwide introduction of a rent freeze.
A new amber risk that is classified as very unlikely, with a <5% probability of occurrence, is the risk with an impact on profit and loss associated with “amendments to the German Real Estate Transfer Tax Act due to share deals”. The amendments to the German Real Estate Transfer Tax Act that came into force on July 1, 2021, lowering the participation threshold from 95% to 90% and increasing the observation period from 5 to 10 years, could give rise to a subsequent liability to pay real estate transfer tax. The expected loss amount is currently estimated at >€ 500 million.
The risk associated with “unfavorable interest rate developments” which was previously recognized as a green risk with an impact on profit and loss, is now recognized as an amber risk due to the potential probability of occurrence being increased from <5% to 5–39%. The expected loss amount is currently estimated at € 100–250 million.
For the amber risk with an impact on profit and loss associated with a “deteriorating residential property market situation with regard to apartment sales / buyer behavior,” the assessment of the expected amount of loss remains unchanged year-on-year at € 100–250 million, and the evaluation of the probability of occurrence is also unchanged at 5–39%.
The assessment of the amber risk with an impact on profit and loss associated with a “failure to fulfill obligations (from bonds, secured loans, transactions)” remains unchanged in a year-on-year comparison with a probability of occurrence of <5% and an expected loss amount of >€ 500 million.
The assessment of the loss amount for the amber risk with an impact on profit and loss associated with an “adverse structure of CO₂ tax” is unchanged at € 25-100 million, with the expected probability of occurrence 60-95%.
The amount of loss expected in connection with the amber risk with an impact on profit and loss associated with “unfavorable exchange rate developments,” which relates to our business activities in Sweden, remains unchanged at € 25–100 million, with a probability of occurrence of 40–59%.
The following overview of the remaining green risks presents the four main risk categories of the company in detail. Individual risks are shown as examples for each category:
Adjusted EBITDA Development
The Adjusted EBITDA Development includes the gross profit from the development activities of “to sell” projects (income from sold development projects less production costs) and the gross profit from the development activities of “to hold” projects (fair value of the units developed for the company’s own portfolio less incurred production costs) less the operating expenses from the Development segment.
Adjusted EBITDA Deutsche Wohnen
The Adjusted EBITDA Deutsche Wohnen is calculated by deducting the operating expenses of the Deutsche Wohnen segment and the carrying amount of properties sold from the segment revenue of the Deutsche Wohnen Group.
Adjusted EBITDA Recurring Sales
The Adjusted EBITDA Recurring Sales compares the proceeds generated from the privatization business with the fair values of assets sold and also deducts the related costs of sale. In order to disclose profit and revenue in the period in which they are incurred and to report a sales margin, the fair value of properties sold, valued in accordance with IFRS 5, has to be adjusted to reflect realized/unrealized changes in value.
Adjusted EBITDA Rental
The Adjusted EBITDA Rental is calculated by deducting the operating expenses of the Rental segment and the expenses for maintenance in the Rental segment from the Group’s rental income.
Adjusted EBITDA Total
Adjusted EBITDA Total is the result before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (including income from other operational investments and intragroup profits) adjusted for effects that do not relate to the period, recur irregularly and that are atypical for business operation, and for net income from fair value adjustments to investment properties. These non-recurring items include the development of new fields of business and business processes, acquisition projects, expenses for refinancing and equity increases (where not treated as capital procurement costs), IPO preparation costs and expenses for pre-retirement part-time work arrangements and severance payments. The Adjusted EBITDA Total is derived from the sum of the Adjusted EBITDA Rental, Adjusted EBITDA Value-add, Adjusted EBITDA Recurring Sales, Adjusted EBITDA Development and Adjusted EBITDA Deutsche Wohnen.
Adjusted EBITDA Value-add
The Adjusted EBITDA Value-add is calculated by deducting operating expenses from the segment’s income.
COSO
The Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO) is a private-sector U.S. organization. It was founded in 1985. In 1992, COSO published the COSO model, an SEC-recognized standard for internal controls. This provided a basis for the documentation, analysis and design of internal control systems. In 2004, the model was further developed and the COSO Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Framework was published. Since then, it has been used to structure and develop risk management systems.
Covenants
Requirements specified in loan agreements or bond conditions containing future obligations of the borrower or the bond obligor to meet specific requirements or to refrain from undertaking certain activities.
EPRA Key Figures
For information on the EPRA key figures, we refer to the chapter on segment reporting according to EPRA.
EPRA NTA
The presentation of the NTA based on the EPRA definition aims to show the net asset value in a long-term business model. NTA stands for Net Tangible Assets. The equity attributable to Vonovia’s shareholders is adjusted by deferred taxes, real estate transfer tax and other purchasers’ costs in relation to the existing portfolio and the fair value of derivative financial instruments after taking deferred taxes into account. Stated goodwill and other intangible assets are also deducted.
European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA)
The European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) is a non-profit organization that has its registered headquarters in Brussels and represents the interests of listed European real estate companies. Its mission is to raise awareness of European listed real estate companies as a potential investment destination that offers an alternative to conventional investments. EPRA is a registered trademark of the European Public Real Estate Association.
European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA)
The European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) is a non-profit organization that has its registered headquarters in Brussels and represents the interests of listed European real estate companies. Its mission is to raise awareness of European listed real estate companies as a potential investment destination that offers an alternative to conventional investments. EPRA is a registered trademark of the European Public Real Estate Association.
Fair Value
Fair value is particularly relevant with regard to valuation in accordance with IAS 40 in conjunction with IFRS 13. The fair value is the amount for which an asset could be exchanged between knowledgeable, willing parties in an arm’s length transaction.
Fair Value
Fair value is particularly relevant with regard to valuation in accordance with IAS 40 in conjunction with IFRS 13. The fair value is the amount for which an asset could be exchanged between knowledgeable, willing parties in an arm’s length transaction.
Fair Value
Fair value is particularly relevant with regard to valuation in accordance with IAS 40 in conjunction with IFRS 13. The fair value is the amount for which an asset could be exchanged between knowledgeable, willing parties in an arm’s length transaction.
Fair Value
Fair value is particularly relevant with regard to valuation in accordance with IAS 40 in conjunction with IFRS 13. The fair value is the amount for which an asset could be exchanged between knowledgeable, willing parties in an arm’s length transaction.
GAV
The Gross Asset Value (GAV) of the recognized real estate investments. This consists of the owner-occupied properties, the investment properties including development to hold, the assets held for sale and the development to sell area. In the latter, both residential properties for which a purchase contract has been signed and those with the intention to sell – i.e., a purchase contract has not yet been signed – are included.
GAV
The Gross Asset Value (GAV) of the recognized real estate investments. This consists of the owner-occupied properties, the investment properties including development to hold, the assets held for sale and the development to sell area. In the latter, both residential properties for which a purchase contract has been signed and those with the intention to sell – i.e., a purchase contract has not yet been signed – are included.
Group FFO
Group FFO reflects the recurring earnings from the operating business. In addition to the adjusted EBITDA for the Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales and Development segments, Group FFO allows for recurring current net interest expenses from non-derivative financial instruments as well as current income taxes. This key figure is not determined on the basis of any specific international reporting standard but is to be regarded as a supplement to other performance indicators determined in accordance with IFRS.
Maintenance
Maintenance covers the measures that are necessary to ensure that the property can continue to be used as intended over its useful life and that eliminate structural and other defects caused by wear and tear, age and weathering effects.
Maintenance
Maintenance covers the measures that are necessary to ensure that the property can continue to be used as intended over its useful life and that eliminate structural and other defects caused by wear and tear, age and weathering effects.
Maintenance
Maintenance covers the measures that are necessary to ensure that the property can continue to be used as intended over its useful life and that eliminate structural and other defects caused by wear and tear, age and weathering effects.
Maintenance
Maintenance covers the measures that are necessary to ensure that the property can continue to be used as intended over its useful life and that eliminate structural and other defects caused by wear and tear, age and weathering effects.
Vacancy Rate
The vacancy rate is the number of empty units as a percentage of the total units owned by the company. The vacant units are counted at the end of each month.
Vacancy Rate
The vacancy rate is the number of empty units as a percentage of the total units owned by the company. The vacant units are counted at the end of each month.
Vacancy Rate
The vacancy rate is the number of empty units as a percentage of the total units owned by the company. The vacant units are counted at the end of each month.
Vacancy Rate
The vacancy rate is the number of empty units as a percentage of the total units owned by the company. The vacant units are counted at the end of each month.
LTV Ratio (Loan-to-Value Ratio)
The LTV ratio shows the extent to which financial liabilities are covered. It shows the ratio of non-derivative financial liabilities pursuant to IFRS, less foreign exchange rate effects, cash and cash equivalents less advance payments received by Development (period-related), receivables from disposals, plus purchase prices for outstanding acquisitions to the total fair values of the real estate portfolio, fair values of the projects/land currently under construction as well as receivables from the sale of real estate inventories (period-related) plus the fair values of outstanding acquisitions and investments in other real estate companies.
Rental Income
Rental income refers to the current gross income for rented units as agreed in the corresponding lease agreements before the deduction of non-transferable ancillary costs. The rental income from the Austrian property portfolio additionally includes maintenance and improvement contributions (EVB). The rental income from the portfolio in Sweden reflects inclusive rents, meaning that the amounts contain operating and heating costs.
Rental Income
Rental income refers to the current gross income for rented units as agreed in the corresponding lease agreements before the deduction of non-transferable ancillary costs. The rental income from the Austrian property portfolio additionally includes maintenance and improvement contributions (EVB). The rental income from the portfolio in Sweden reflects inclusive rents, meaning that the amounts contain operating and heating costs.
Modernization Measures
Modernization measures are long-term and sustainable value-enhancing investments in housing and building stocks. Energy-efficient refurbishments generally involve improvements to the building shell and communal areas as well as the heat and electricity supply systems. Typical examples are the installation of heating systems, the renovation of balconies and the retrofitting of prefabricated balconies as well as the implementation of energy-saving projects, such as the installation of double-glazed windows and heat insulation, e.g., facade insulation, insulation of the top story ceilings and basement ceilings. In addition to modernization of the apartment electrics, the refurbishment work upgrades the apartments, typically through the installation of modern and/or accessible bathrooms, the installation of new doors and the laying of high-quality and non-slip flooring. Where required, the floor plans are altered to meet changed housing needs.
Modernization Measures
Modernization measures are long-term and sustainable value-enhancing investments in housing and building stocks. Energy-efficient refurbishments generally involve improvements to the building shell and communal areas as well as the heat and electricity supply systems. Typical examples are the installation of heating systems, the renovation of balconies and the retrofitting of prefabricated balconies as well as the implementation of energy-saving projects, such as the installation of double-glazed windows and heat insulation, e.g., facade insulation, insulation of the top story ceilings and basement ceilings. In addition to modernization of the apartment electrics, the refurbishment work upgrades the apartments, typically through the installation of modern and/or accessible bathrooms, the installation of new doors and the laying of high-quality and non-slip flooring. Where required, the floor plans are altered to meet changed housing needs.
Modernization Measures
Modernization measures are long-term and sustainable value-enhancing investments in housing and building stocks. Energy-efficient refurbishments generally involve improvements to the building shell and communal areas as well as the heat and electricity supply systems. Typical examples are the installation of heating systems, the renovation of balconies and the retrofitting of prefabricated balconies as well as the implementation of energy-saving projects, such as the installation of double-glazed windows and heat insulation, e.g., facade insulation, insulation of the top story ceilings and basement ceilings. In addition to modernization of the apartment electrics, the refurbishment work upgrades the apartments, typically through the installation of modern and/or accessible bathrooms, the installation of new doors and the laying of high-quality and non-slip flooring. Where required, the floor plans are altered to meet changed housing needs.
Modernization Measures
Modernization measures are long-term and sustainable value-enhancing investments in housing and building stocks. Energy-efficient refurbishments generally involve improvements to the building shell and communal areas as well as the heat and electricity supply systems. Typical examples are the installation of heating systems, the renovation of balconies and the retrofitting of prefabricated balconies as well as the implementation of energy-saving projects, such as the installation of double-glazed windows and heat insulation, e.g., facade insulation, insulation of the top story ceilings and basement ceilings. In addition to modernization of the apartment electrics, the refurbishment work upgrades the apartments, typically through the installation of modern and/or accessible bathrooms, the installation of new doors and the laying of high-quality and non-slip flooring. Where required, the floor plans are altered to meet changed housing needs.
Sustainability Performance Index (SPI)
Index to measure non-financial performance. Vonovia’s sustainable activities are geared towards the top sustainability topics that we have identified, which are bundled in the Sustainability Performance Index. The Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI) is included in the calculation of the Sustainability Performance Index. The CSI is determined at regular intervals in systematic customer surveys conducted by an external service provider and shows the effectiveness and sustainability of our services for the customer. Other indicators used in the Sustainability Performance Index are the carbon savings achieved annually in housing stock, the energy efficiency of new buildings, the share of accessible (partial) modernization measures in relation to newly let apartments, the increase in employee satisfaction and diversity in the company’s top management team.
Sustainability Performance Index (SPI)
Index to measure non-financial performance. Vonovia’s sustainable activities are geared towards the top sustainability topics that we have identified, which are bundled in the Sustainability Performance Index. The Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI) is included in the calculation of the Sustainability Performance Index. The CSI is determined at regular intervals in systematic customer surveys conducted by an external service provider and shows the effectiveness and sustainability of our services for the customer. Other indicators used in the Sustainability Performance Index are the carbon savings achieved annually in housing stock, the energy efficiency of new buildings, the share of accessible (partial) modernization measures in relation to newly let apartments, the increase in employee satisfaction and diversity in the company’s top management team.
Non-core Disposals
We also report on the Other segment, which is not relevant from a corporate management perspective, in our segment reporting. This includes the sale, only as and when the right opportunities present themselves, of entire buildings or land (Non-core Disposals) that are likely to have below-average development potential in terms of rent growth in the medium term and are located in areas that can be described as peripheral compared with Vonovia’s overall portfolio and in view of future acquisitions.
Recurring Sales
The Recurring Sales segment includes the regular and sustainable disposals of individual condominiums from our portfolio. It does not include the sale of entire buildings or land (Non-core Disposals). These properties are only sold as and when the right opportunities present themselves, meaning that the sales do not form part of our operating business within the narrower sense of the term. Therefore, these sales will be reported under “Other” in our segment reporting.
Fair Value Step-up
Fair value step-up is the difference between the income from selling a unit and its current fair value in relation to its fair value. It shows the percentage increase in value for the company on the sale of a unit before further costs of sale.
Fair Value Step-up
Fair value step-up is the difference between the income from selling a unit and its current fair value in relation to its fair value. It shows the percentage increase in value for the company on the sale of a unit before further costs of sale.
Cash-generating Unit (CGU)
The cash-generating unit refers, in connection with the impairment testing of goodwill, to the smallest group of assets that generates cash inflows and outflows independently of the use of other assets or other cash-generating units (CGUs).